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UK Forecast: Unsettled end to June - Cool, windy north & west, Jun 28 - 16:22

Thursday Low pressure resides across the British Isles. A slow-moving frontal system affects Scotland, western Britain and much of Ireland, bringing grey skies and frequent outbreaks of rain, most prolonged in north-east Scotland. Drier for central & south-east England, but a chance of local showers by afternoon. Windy in the north & west, and feeling cool - highs 12 to 15C in west & north, 16 to 20C for the Midlands & south-east.

Thursday night Rain continues to affect northern & western Britain, plus Northern Ireland - some heavy bursts, most persistent for north facing coasts and hills, particularly in Scotland. Patchy rain across northern England may extend into the Midlands, whilst central-south-eastern counties should be largely dry. Mostly cloudy skies. Staying windy in the west & north, local gales around coasts in the south-west. Lows 9 to 12C, locally cooler central Britain.

Friday Low pressure over the south of Britain. Rain or showers mostly north & west in the morning, transferring south & east into the Midlands and southern England through the day, with slow-moving thundery bursts of rain into the afternoon & evening. Some sunshine, becoming generally brighter across northern Britain & Ireland. A brisk northerly wind for the north & west. Just 12 to 16C Scotland & NE England, up to 17 to 21C Midlands & south.

Saturday A brief ridge of high pressure topples eastwards across Britain. This should bring a fair day to many central, southern & eastern regions, with variable cloud and sunny spells, best in the east and near coasts. A warm front pushes into the north-west, where cloud will thicken, and rain is likely to develop for Scotland & Northern Ireland, heaviest in the west. A westerly breeze. Highs 14 to 17C north-west, 20 to 22C south-east.

Morning Call: Wet England & Wales - Drier Scotland, Jun 28 - 05:44

Wet for England and Wales, drier in Scotland Good morning, Low pressure is going to be bringing an area of rain across much of central and eastern England as well as Wales this morning. Some heavier bursts here and there, notably northeast England and parts of Wales. Drier weather along the far south coast of England.

The rain band edges north through the afternoon into the rest of northern England, with some heavier bursts passing west through Ireland. Some heavier, thundery showers or rain may develop in southwest England too. Scotland should be dry with broken cloud. Drier for the eastern Midlands, East Anglia and southeast although an odd heavy showers can't be ruled out here.

Tonight sees the rain in northern England as well as the south and east of Scotland. Patchy rain in north Wales too, with damper weather affecting eastern Ireland. Drier in central and southeastern areas of England. Increasing winds in Scotland and eastern Ireland.

Simon Email me at simon.keeling@weatheronline.co.uk

Week ahead: Mixed early July - Some warmth, risk of thunder, Jun 28 - 14:38

Rain mostly north-west this weekend A fresh westerly pattern this weekend brings rain to the north-west, but elsewhere should be frequently dry. Next week should become warmer, but it looks a struggle to fully settle down in the first part of July, with slack pressure during midweek bringing a risk of thundery rain developing. For the weather for the next few days click here

Saturday 01/07/16 A brief ridge of high pressure topples eastwards across Britain. This should bring a fair day to many central, southern & eastern regions, with variable cloud and sunny spells, best in the east and near coasts. A warm front pushes into the north-west, where cloud will thicken, and rain is likely to develop for Scotland & Northern Ireland, heaviest in the west. A westerly breeze. Highs 14 to 17C north-west, 20 to 22C south-east.

Sunday 02/07/16 A weakening frontal system is expected to pass south-eastwards into Sunday, leaving the remnants of a cold front across the English Channel. Partly cloudy skies and a risk of patchy rain or a local shower in the south. Showers more frequent for north-western Britain & Ireland. Fairly cloudy, especially in the west, whilst east & central areas should see some sun. A brisk westerly wind, strongest in Scotland. Highs 15 to 20C.

Monday 03/07/16 Pressure is likely to build briefly from the south-west and may result in a fair day for many places with sunny spells. A continued cool westerly breeze is likely to affect northern Britain, producing areas of showers. Winds should ease through the day. Becoming warmer in the south. Highs 15 to 17C Scotland & N Ireland, 18 to 21C central-northern England & Wales, 21 to 23C south.

Tuesday 04/07/16 Detail becomes uncertain into midweek. Broadly, it should become warmer and more humid as the airflow turns to the south-west or south, but pressure may also fall from the west, resulting in areas of rain developing for Ireland & western Britain. Central & south-eastern England may escape dry, with warm sunshine. Highs 19 to 24C. Wednesday 05/07/16 Low pressure is expected to drift across the country, although confidence is low. Some warm sunshine possible, but a risk of thundery rain developing. Winds mostly light and variable. Highs 19 to 26C. Thursday 06/07/16 A threat of thundery rain pivoting slowly northwards across the country, perhaps turning widely unsettled with gusty winds. Warm and humid in any sunshine, but cooler in the north. Highs 18 to 25C.

Seasonal outlook: Higher pressure - Drier for many, Apr 27 - 12:41

*June* As of the time of issue models are emphasising that high pressure is likely to be the dominating factor of the weather through June. A drier than average month is anticipated and this is likely to lead to moe sunshine than usual too. There are uncertainties about how dominant the high will be as it could drift around from time to time, allowing for bands of rain to affect the country. Overall conditions suggest though that the weather stays mostly dry. *July* High pressure is likely to be remaining the most notable feature of the weather in July. It may be north of the country encouraging a more easterly flow. Dry weather again seems most likely, although there is little back up for this when comparing to similar patterns in previous years. Models continue to emphasise a warmer than average month. Severe thunderstorms could affect the south at times. Simon Keeling Email me at simon.keeling@weatheronline.co.uk

Europe forecast: Heavy rain central Europe - Fine to south, Jun 28 - 05:43

Unsettled with wind and rain in central Europe, fair to the south Wednesday Heavy showers across northern Spain and Portugal today. Dry for more southern areas with sunny spells. A scattering of showers in Majorca and menorca as well as Corsica and Sardinia. Italy should be fine with lots of sunshine in central and southern areas although heavy rain affects the north. Greece and Turkey will be dry with sunny spells. Low pressure brings showers and rain into France and the Low Countries. Further thundery showers affecting much of Germany and Hungary with the potential for some torrential downpours in Switzerland and Austria. Rain and strong winds affecting Denmark and southern Sweden, although much of the Baltic States should be dry. Fair for Norway and Sweden. A few showers affecting Finland.

Thursday Thundery showers, some of them heavy across northern Spain today. Dry and fair in central and southern Spain and Portugal. Fair to in the Balearics and staying fine and sunny across most of Italy. Greece is going to be dry too with more sunshine and it should be staying fine and warm across Turkey too. An unsettled, wet and windy day through France. Heavy showers affect the Low Countries whilst rain troubles Germany throughout the day. Poland will be windy with heavy showers, most in the north. Scattered showers for Hungary but heavier showers across Switzerland and Austria. Low pressure brings showers in Denmark, some of them heavy. Wind and rain for the Baltic States, gales in places. Fair for Finland, although increasing cloud and some rain coming into the south. Cloud and patchy rain in southern Sweden but fair to the north. Scattered showers across the fair south of Norway but dry with sunshine in central and northern areas.

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My favourite page for a comprehensive weather forecast is the BBC's 24 hour forecast as it provides hourly conditions, giving you a good idea of when any cloud or rain will appear during the day. To find the 24 hour forecast you need click here and enter your postcode, then select 24 hour forecast.

 

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