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UK Forecast: Thundery showers - Sunny north, May 23 - 14:09

Thursday Rather a lot of cloud over the southern half of England and Wales this morning with some thundery showers too. These could be heavy over high ground at times. There is uncertainty in where the showers may be heaviest, although the Chilterns, Cotswolds and hills of south and eastern Wales currently look to be the focus. Drier further east but breezy here and rather cloudy. Much brighter in northern England, Scotland and Ireland with lows of sunshine to come. The thundery showers continue to threaten Wales and southern England this afternoon, staying rather cloudy and breezy here as well. A few showers may trigger in northwest England and southwest Scotland as well as central Ireland. generally though, these areas stay drier and brighter with the best sunshine in western Scotland. Breezy in England and Wales. Highs at 22C in sunnier eastern areas, 18C in the cloud and showers to the west and south.

Thursday Night Thundery rain and cloud may again push through England and Wales tonight with the potential for some heavy rain in places, although there is much uncertainty in the detail. Scotland and Ireland should be staying dry with some broken cloud. A fresh northeast breeze, strong on eastern coasts. Lows of 8 to 12C.

Friday High pressure is to the northwest of Scotland on Friday. A trough through northern England and Wales brings the threat of some heavy, thundery rain to southwest England, Wales, the Midlands and northern England in the morning, this reaching southern Scotland and eastern Ireland in the afternoon. Drier to the south although with lots of cloud and still a few thundery showers. Brighter and drier for much of Scotland and the rest of Ireland with lots of sunshine, although some cloud in northwest Scotland. A fresh east breeze and highs at 24C where it brightens in southern England, 21C in Ireland and western Scotland, 12C on eastern coasts in the stiff breeze.

Saturday High pressure drifts north of Scotland on Saturday with an easterly flow through the UK and Ireland. Broken cloud for much of England and Wales with some morning drizzle on hills. These fade to leave mostly dry weather with some bright or sunny spells. Dry with sunshine in much of Scotland and Northern Ireland. An area of rain, some of it thundery, could pass through southwest England and into southern Ireland during Saturday morning and afternoon. Highs at a very warm 26C in any sunshine in southeast England, 24C in western Scotland, 22C in western Ireland but cooler along North Sea coasts because of the stiff east breeze at 17C.

Morning Call: Thundery south - fair to the north, May 24 - 05:44

Thundery showersin the south, drier and sunny north Good morning, Thundery showers across the Midlands, southern England and Wales on Thursday. These continue through the course of the day with some local downpours in places. Some drier and brighter weather reaching East Anglia and southeast England. Low cloud over eastern coasts of England and Scotland at first. This low cloud pulls back to the coasts leaving some good spells of sunshine. Mostly dry and sunny for the rest of northern England and Scotland.

Some showers in western parts of Ireland as well as the far southeast of Ireland. Most other areas should be dry. Simon Email me at simon.keeling@weatheronline.co.uk

Week ahead: Thundery showers south - Fair to north, May 24 - 11:29

Thundery showers and rain in the south, dry to the north Thundery showers and outbreaks of thundery rain in southern England, Wales and eastern Ireland. Becoming very warm in the sunshine too in the south. Drier in Scotland and Northern Ireland as well as the far north of England with sunny spells. Details are tricky to pin down and so forecast confidence across southern areas of the UK and Ireland is best considered low.

For the weather for the next few days click here Sunday 27/5/18 High pressure stays to the north on Sunday with low pressure to the south. Thundery showers extending through southern and central England, Wales and eastern Ireland. There could be some heavy and more persistent rain too. More scattered thundery showers in southeast England with some cloud and outbreaks of rain affecting eastern and central Ireland. Dry for Scotland and most of northern England and Northern Ireland, although low cloud on eastern coasts. A brisk east wind too in northern and eastern England. Highs at 26C in the southeast in any sunshine, 17C over eastern coasts of Scotland and England especially in low cloud, 21C in western Scotland and Ireland

Holiday Monday 28/5/18 High pressure stays to the northeast on Monday with low pressure to the south. The easterly flow brings thundery showers or longer outbreaks of rain to southern Ireland, south Wales and southern England. Rather cloudy for much of the rest of England with low cloud on eastern coasts. Plenty of sunshine in Scotland with sunny spells in western Ireland together with a few showers here. Highs at 21 to 24C but cooler on eastern coasts.

Tuesday 29/5/18 Low pressure to the south on Tuesday. This brings cloud and some thundery outbreaks of rain in southern England, Wales and southern Ireland. Drier in northern England and Scotland with some bright or sunny spells. ow cloud on eastern coasts. Highs at 20 to 24C, 17C on eastern coasts.

Wednesday 30/5/18 Pressure stays low over the south of the country through Wednesday. There will be broken cloud and some sunny spells but also some spots of rain or drizzle on hills. The risk of thundery rain in Ireland. Highs at 22 to 25C in the brighter areas, 17C on eastern coasts.

Thursday 31/5/18 Lower pressure over the south on Thursday with higher pressure to the north. There are likely to be some outbreaks of rain, again this thundery in the south and west. Drier in Scotland overal, although the risk of showers in the south. Highs at 18 to 24C. Friday 1/6/18 June looks set to start with a slack pressure flow. This may give some thundery bursts of rain, mostly in the west and south. Highs at 19 to 25C.

Seasonal outlook: Mixed early summer - Wet late May & June, Mar 30 - 22:18

*May* Our current ideas are that the start of May is likely to be better than the end of the month. Higher pressure may dominate at first bringing dry weather and good spells of sunshine. It is likely to be a milder start to the month, perhaps with an odd warm day. Into the middle of the month outbreaks of rain and showers may encroach into western Ireland and southwest England. Towards the end of the month conditions may become more unsettled, especially in the south and west with all places then wetter as the month ends. *June* The start of the month is likely to be unsettled with wind and rain. Wet weather could last into the middle stages of the month when there will be strong winds and heavy periods of rain too. It may also be cool. The second half of June is likely to be better with sunny sells and drier weather as well as being warmer. Simon Keeling

Europe forecast: Fine Scandinavia - Thundery Iberia, May 24 - 05:43

Fine Scandinavia but thundery Spain and Portugal Thursday During Thursday and a large and dominant area of high pressure persists over Scandinavia bringing fine and warm weather to much of Norway, Sweden and Finland. These fair weather conditions also continue to dominate across much of the British Isles, but with a few showers possible across S England as the day progresses. The remainder of Europe is void of any active weather systems so while plenty of warm or very warm sunshine is forecast, atmospheric pressure is low enough to allow for the development of fairly widespred afternoon heavy showers or thunderstorms. It remains likely that most of these will be across parts of France, eastwards into Germany and parts of Switzerland, while potentially affecting Spain and Portugal still as well given that low pressure persists here. Plenty of fine and very warm weather for eastern and south-eastern areas of Europe, hot in fact across Greece, Turkey and Slovakia, for example, but with afternoon downpours possible.

Friday Heavy and thundery showers over Portugal and Spain today. Southern and eastern Spain should be dry with sunny spells. The Balearics are likely to be sry as will be Corsica and Sardinia. Heavy showers for Greece and also for the west of Turkey. Some thundery showers forming in northern France but dry to the south with sunny spells. Scattered thunderstorms in the Low Countries and the west of Germany but dry i the east. Showers affecting Poland. Further showers, some heavy for Hungary and Austria as well as Switzerland. Fine weather to come in Denmark with sunshine here. More sunshine for the Baltic States and in Finland too. Sweden will have plenty of sunshine and should stay dry. It will also be staying dry and sunny for most of Norway.

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